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Energy Storage Valuation, front cover

Energy Storage Valuation

Gas Storage, Swing Contracts and Hydro Reservoirs as Stochastic Control Problems

by Torbjørn Kvalvik

General518 pages12 chapters60 figures6 × 9 inPaperbackHardcoverDust jacket

Contents

  1. Preface
  2. List of Figures
  3. List of Tables
  4. 1Flexibility Is an Option
  5. 2Prices Worth Storing
  6. 3The Intrinsic Value and Its Rolls
  7. 4Inject, Hold, Withdraw
  8. 5Solving the Storage Equation
  9. 6Regression and Duality
  10. 7Switching and Impulses
  11. 8Swing Rights as Multiple Stopping
  12. 9Volume Limits and Take-or-Pay
  13. 10Water Values
  14. 11Batteries and Pumped Storage
  15. 12Fields, Hedges and the Portfolio
  16. References
  17. Index
  18. About the Author

About this book

A gas storage, a swing contract, a hydro reservoir, a battery and a producing field are the same problem. Each has an inventory, a price that moves and returns to its season, a rate the physics or the contract allows, and a value that is solved backward in time. The best fixed plan on today’s forward curve is a floor you can lock in; everything above it is the right to change the plan.

This book writes that problem once and solves it every way that matters. It derives the storage equation and proves when its value is the one you can trade, then computes it: linear programmes and rolling intrinsic, monotone schemes, regression with dual bounds that certify it, switching and impulse control. It carries the frame to swing rights and take-or-pay contracts, to the water values of a reservoir chain and stochastic dual dynamic programming, to batteries with losses and wear, and to the delta hedge with forwards.

One picture runs through every chapter: the marginal value of inventory, and where the price crosses it. Every main result is proved, and every algorithm is set out step by step.

Torbjørn Kvalvik is a Norwegian mathematician who has spent thirty years on the commercial side of the North Sea, valuing what it is worth to be able to wait.

The covers

Energy Storage Valuation, back coverEnergy Storage Valuation, front cover